2011年5月16日 星期一

CHART OF THE DAY – FALSE REVERSAL? [archeive]


Pedestrian
No big action until Monday at the earliest. We need a weekend catalyst as usual. This is just basing and consolidation.

Pedestrian
If you watch the hourly platinum chart you can see it will probably take Wednesday, Thursday and Friday to set-up the base for a bounce. For some reason its easier to read than gold and silver at turns so the platinum chart comes in very handy. Keep your eyes on it. When plat moves up gold won’t be far behind.
http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=PL&p=h1

  1. dboz
    Time for a curve ball. The PM market is patterned. Good chart Gary, maybe this is the time it does not do this to fake the sideline sitters out. This is where it gets tough for sideline sitters. Do you sit and think a deeper pullback is coming? Or does it take off and just keep rising? For us OLD TURKEY holders, this is a nice surprise today. No need to try to time it. The only decision will be if we should sell after a bounce and possible deeper fall.
    Plenty of time to get long for sure but it is always hard to pull the trigger at the bottom as everyone always expects lower. Time will tell where we go.
  2. Pedestrian
    Copper is also smack-dab on the bottom of its channel and ready to move up with other commodities.
    http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?p=d1&t=HG
    That should be good news for TECK fans. But here’s a little warning. If you trace out the channels on TECK using the bottoms as your giude what you will see is that the top is a Head-and-Shoulders pattern rather than a double top as suggested by the FINVIZ chart.
    http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=teck
    That can only mean that any potential bounce coming in copper will not be significant if the H&S is to remain valid. So buy it with caution in mind and consideration that all the metals may have no more than a feeble relief rally in store.
    1. GaryPost author
      It does look like a DCL in miners. But I doubt we have a final ICL yet. Sentiment isn’t bearish enough.
      I’m going to say stocks drop down into a DCL and metals rally over the next 5-8 days. Then the longer term trends resume with the final ICL coming in mid to late June.

沒有留言:

張貼留言